Sunday, February 16, 2025

2024 - A Year in Film

 

Not a movie year goes by without many lamenting the state of the art form. That, despite the occasional huge box office weekend, cinema is in dire straits, awash in endless IP, while good-to-great adult fare gets buried amongst the pile of "content" housed in the basement of the streamers. But for me, and many others, who try to take stock of the recently-passed calendar year, end up with a glut of great movies to discuss. Are movies really dead (again)?

Well it depends where you look. Hollywood kind of does suck right now. This is endemic to the industry and to the people who run it. The crevasse between the two parts of the term show business has never been wider and reflects the culture and infrastructure of a country whose defining characteristic in middle of the 2020s is its intent on tightening that very stranglehold. When a great Hollywood movie comes out, it's a miracle--a bug, not a feature.

But movies outside that system (or at least ones that are created mostly outside of it and only entering it for marketing and distribution purposes) flourished as it always does. Because, as it turns out, there are still artists out there and, when left mainly to their own devices, turn the movie year into another great movie year.

And here's another thing about the term "movie year." It's too nebulous. My favorite movie of 2024 is technically a 2023 movie. Sometimes that's not a concern for this kind of list--movies often get, say, festival releases one year only to get legitimate distribution the following year. But La Chimera, though it only got released locally in my area in early 2024, was a wide enough release that many considered it a 2023 release and eligible for Oscar consideration that year and made many year-end lists. Had I seen it in 2023, it would have been my #1 of that year too. But outside of the big markets, it only came out in 2024 and even some of the bigger critics and publications included it in their 2024 lists. Once I started to notice that, rather than let it vanish into the ether, I decided it would be included here. And while the other top choices on my list were outstanding, La Chimera was always going to stand alone.

I hope you enjoy the video. 

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Full list: https://boxd.it/EeKbS

Wednesday, January 17, 2024

2023 - A Year in Film

 Another deep roster of movies that made it difficult to rank them for this year's list. As always, there were some notable omissions due to not being able to see them in time--chief among them, The Zone of Interest and The Boy and the Heron, not to mention a slate of domestic and foreign art house titles that received no distribution in my neck of the woods and will have to wait until a streaming release later in 2024. But that said, still a terrific year for movies.

Enjoy!

Friday, January 13, 2023

2022 - A Year in Film

[Spoilers for the rankings below. Watch the above video first.]

From Once to Moonlight, from Only Lovers Left Alive to The Farewell, from Me and You and Everyone We Know to Lost in Translation, my pick for the top movie of the year more often has an air of melancholy--quiet, pensive movies you'd more likely see at the arthouse than at the multiplex (though that distinction feels weirdly dated). But for most of the year, I was prepared to write about how the top of my 2022 list would be a bit of an outlier, as I had two maximalist crowd-pleasers, two box office smashes (at least in relative terms) topping my list. Everything Everywhere All at Once and Top Gun: Maverick were my top 2 movies until very late December since having seen both of them before June. After watching Aftersun earlier in December, I "only" slotted it at #3. But in the intervening weeks, I haven't stopped thinking about it. The movie haunts in the same way the memories haunt its protagonist, Sophie. It's a shattering debut from director Charlotte Wells and as I was compiling this list, it felt inevitable that I had to place it at the top.

There were many movies I wished I could have caught up with before making the list: Armageddon Time, Women Talking, Jafar Panahi's No Bears (though his son Panah makes the top 10 with his moving debut!), All That Breathes, Pearl (the prequel to my #22, X), EO, Return to Seoul, and countless others.

As the Bowie clip at the beginning of the video suggests, a list of the best movies of the year is less an objective statement about the greatest films in any given twelve-month span than it is a story of how I traversed the movie year. It's a micro look at film history, a snapshot of one person's point-of-view. But the end of November gave us the opposite, a macro look at the art form, when the once-a-decade Greatest Films of All Time Critics' List was revealed by Sight & Sound magazine. There are better analyses out there than anything I could write and I'll link them below. But in some circles (to which I will not link below) will use the topping of the list by Chantal Akerman's Jeanne Dielman, 23, quai du Commerce, 1080 Bruxelles as an excuse to rail against political correctness, identity politics, and some vague and as always unformed idea of "wokeness", as an excuse to argue that the broadening of the voting base unfairly spits in the face of the traditional canon. To this I will only say that I disagree with this assessment and that even if these assertions are true, so what?

And by completely unpopular demand, here's my hastily considered list of the greatest movies of all time if I ever should be so dared to submit:

City Lights (Charles Chaplin, 1931) 
Citizen Kane (Orson Welles, 1941) 
Casablanca (Michael Curtiz, 1942) 
My Darling Clementine (John Ford, 1946)
Breathless (Jean-Luc Godard, 1960)
The Apartment (Billy Wilder, 1960)
Vertigo (Alfred Hitchcock, 1958)
Jeanne Dielman, 23, quai du Commerce, 1080 Bruxelles (Chantal Akerman, 1975)
Annie Hall (Woody Allen, 1977)
In the Mood for Love (Wong Kar-wai, 2001)
 
 

Sunday, January 2, 2022

2021 - A Year in Film

Not much to say. It was nice to finally get back into a movie theater this past year. Much like the previous year, it was difficult to see how the 2021 movie year would turn out. And as late as December, it looked like it would be a pretty weak year. But a flurry of movie watching in the last month brought me many of the year's best, an eclectic mix of American indies, foreign art house, direct-to-streaming titles, and Hollywood blockbusters.

Anyway, I hope you enjoy the video. Happy New Year!

Monday, January 18, 2021

2020 - A Year in Film

There's almost certainly never been a weirder year in the history of the movies. We will perhaps permanently lose our second biggest domestic theater chain. Most major studio releases have been postponed in some cases more than a full year. The traditional modes of production, distribution, and exhibition, already in the throes of a years- or decades-long evolution is reaching a tipping point due to the exacerbating circumstances surrounding the pandemic. AMC has already agreed to terms with Universal Pictures about an aggressive (and malleable) VOD strategy. Disney has released potential blockbusters to their own relatively young streaming service.

This isn't new. Netflix and iTunes started offering movies online over a decade ago. But we found out this year what it's like to live in a primarily virtual world. Well, that is of course not including the millions of frontline workers in healthcare and other service industries who never had that luxury, but I digress.

A growing revolution in the moving image hit its apex in ways that had little to do with what we consider "movies" in the traditional sense--and they came to us in a variety of directions. The first is clearly more pressing: cellphone footage of police brutality. Again, this isn't new. I'm old enough to remember quite vividly the Rodney King beating and the subsequent and volatile aftermath of that footage being released. But the recent acceleration in accessible technology has sadly made this an almost necessary tool to fight corruption and brutality. This all came to a head when the release of cell phone footage showing Officer Derek Chauvin's killing of George Floyd sparked nationwide (and eventually worldwide) protests of racial injustice. This came somewhat off the heels of footage being released of another senseless example of violence against a black citizen when white vigilantes shot and killed Ahmaud Arbery for the simple act of jogging.

On a hopefully lighter note, it's time to admit (begrudgingly) that the cell phone has not only become a dominant method for consuming content, but an increasingly viable way for creating it. In no way is this more apparent than the explosion of TikTok, the social network for creating short videos. (Even I joined it because, well, my friends made me.) Instagram's stories and reels features also fill this growing niche of video creation that puts the content directly in the hands of the consumers. And yes, many of these videos are nonsense. Some are charming sure, others little more than the narcissistic Facebook or Twitter posts of past years turned into a moving image.

Then there are the things that make you happy humanity didn't completely fall apart in the year of all years that it could have. As Broadway theaters have shut their doors, a crowdsourced musical version of Pixar's Ratatouille began to spring up on TikTok. Aspiring musical theater artists wrote and performed original songs, dancers choreographed their own numbers, and costume and set designers worked on production material for a show that didn't even exist. And the result was one of the most truly wonderful things in 2020, eventually leading to the somewhat professional streaming adaptation that dropped just as the year turned.


But if you're reading this, you're here for the movies. I feel like I say this every year, but there is no real point in trying to find a theme in any particular year's movies, no connective tissue to the myriad of films that happened to be released within a given specified calendar range. Movies that were lucky enough to get released in any format this year were created (at least for the most part) without the knowledge of what was to befall the world in the coming months.

And yet...

Many of the films that made my list express some sort of dissatisfaction or disillusion with the world, be it political or personal or both. These films either confront the various horrors of the world today--misogyny, sexual and racial violence, xenophobia, income inequality--or provide the needed respite from needing to constantly engage with them. Some of the very best of these are able to do both.

I'd be lying if I said the lack of bigger budget Hollywood fare changed the makeup of this year's list. Those types of movies tend to be outliers for me at least in terms of what I think the best of the best are. Yet speaking more broadly, it is perhaps that the noise created by the hype surrounding these tentpoles have quieted enough to make room for the smaller and more personal and idiosyncratic works. So, like the hope some had that the limitations to travel over the past year would reap some environmental benefits (turns out it didn't really), perhaps nature could have a hand in course correcting the cinematic landscape as well.

This is an eclectic list and while many lament what would seem like a lack of significant movies over the past year, like any other, I still had a tough time narrowing down my favorites and I am still filled with regret for the handful of titles I had to leave off*. Though we weren't able to see a number of nine-figure budgeted movies, 2020 was I think a real bright spot for American independent cinema. Young, up-and-coming directors with few titles to their name and veteran indie filmmakers alike are all over this list. And book-ending the top 10 are two incredibly disparate titles from a bona fide American master, one who can toggle seamlessly between big and low budget, narrative and documentary, yet whose stamp is unmistakably written on every frame.
*I will list them here, in the hopes you'll seek these out too:

Driveways (Andrew Ahn)
Vitalina Varela (Pedro Costa)
The Woman Who Ran (Hong Sang-soo)
The Invisible Man (Leigh Whannell)
Mangrove (Steve McQueen)
Palm Springs (Max Barbakow)
Soul (Pete Docter)
Mank (David Fincher)
Time (Garrett Bradley)
What the Constitution Means to Me (Marielle Heller & Oliver Butler)
The Last Dance (Jason Hehir)
Hamilton (Thomas Kail)
Kajillionaire (Miranda July)

Sunday, February 9, 2020

The 2nd Annual Fallacy Awards

Animated Feature Film
Frozen 2
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
I Lost My Body
Missing Link
Toy Story 4

Winner: I Lost My Body

Cinematography
The Lighthouse
Little Women
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Parasite
Portrait of a Lady on Fire

Winner: Long Day's Journey Into Night

Costume Design
The Irishman
Little Women
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Portrait of a Lady on Fire
The Souvenir

Winner: Little Women

Directing
Hu Bo, An Elephant Sitting Still
Lulu Wang, The Farewell
Joe Talbot, The Last Black Man in San Francisco
Greta Gerwig, Little Women
Bong Joon-ho, Parasite

Winner: Lulu Wang, The Farewell

Documentary Feature
Apollo 11
The Cave
Honeyland
Maiden
One Child Nation

Winner: Apollo 11

Film Editing
The Farewell
Little Women
Marriage Story
Parasite
Us

Winner: Little Women

International Feature
Atlantics
An Elephant Sitting Still
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Parasite
Portrait of a Lady on Fire

Winner: Parasite

Makeup and Hairstyling
Bombshell
Hustlers
Judy
Little Women
Portrait of a Lady on Fire

Winner: Little Women

Original Score
Apollo 11
The Farewell
Little Women
Marriage Story
Us

Winner: Little Women

Original Song
"Beautiful Ghosts," Cats
"When I Am Older," Frozen 2
"Stand Up," Harriet
"Glasgow," Wild Rose

Winner: "Glasgow," Wild Rose




Production Design
Ad Astra
The Last Black Man in San Francisco
Little Women
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Parasite

Winner: Parasite

Sound Editing
Ad Astra
Ford v Ferrari
In Fabric
John Wick: Chapter 3 -- Parabellum
Long Day's Journey Into Night

Winner: Ford v Ferrari

Sound Mixing
Ad Astra
Ford v Ferrari
In Fabric
John Wick: Chapter 3 -- Parabellum
Long Day's Journey Into Night

Winner: Ad Astra

Visual Effects
1917
Alita: Battle Angel
Ad Astra
The Irishman
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Winner: Ad Astra

Adapted Screenplay
Steven Zaillian, The Irishman
Greta Gerwig, Little Women
Christian Petzold, Transit

Winner: Greta Gerwig, Little Women

Original Screenplay
Lulu Wang, The Farewell
Joe Talbot & Rob Richert, The Last Black Man in San Francisco
Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story
Bong Joon-ho, Parasite
Jordan Peele, Us

Winner: Lulu Wang, The Farewell

Supporting Actress
Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell
Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers
Florence Pugh, Little Women
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Park So-dam, Parasite

Winner: Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell

Supporting Actor
Joe Pesci, The Irishman
Jonathan Majors, The Last Black Man in San Francisco
Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Song Kang-ho, Parasite

Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse

Actress
Awkwafina, The Farewell
Elisabeth Moss, Her Smell
Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
Lupita Nyong'o, Us

Winner: Lupita Nyong'o, Us

Actor
Brad Pitt, Ad Astra
Robert Deniro, The Irishman
Adam Driver, Marriage Story
Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
Adam Sandler, Uncut Gems

Winner: Adam Driver, Marriage Story

Best Picture:
An Elephant Sitting Still
The Farewell
The Last Black Man in San Francisco
Little Women
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite
Portrait of a Lady on Fire
Us

Winner: The Farewell

Sunday, January 5, 2020

2019 - A Year in Movies

I feel like I say it every year: "It's been a great year for movies." And 2019 was no exception--in fact, it was one of the best years for movies that I can remember. Each year I keep a running list of movies that would make a potential best-of list and for the first time that list reached triple digits. Certainly, a large number of those movies had no real shot of making a top 10 or 25 list of the year's best, but it goes to show how deep 2019's slate really was. Even with that, I still feel like I missed a handful of movies that may have been included had I been able to screen them in time.

As always, the final list is in order of how I felt at the moment I finalized it. Ask me in two weeks or two months, something between 15-25 could be in the top 10 or something in my list of honorable mentions (see below) would be in the video. What feels like fixtures, though, are the two titles at the top of the list. There are a several things going on in each of those films: the internal conflict between coming of age in the West, but having your heritage come from the East (The Farewell); the options (or lack thereof) one has in deciding the path they take in life as a woman (Little Women). But what struck me about each of those is that they depict how time and circumstance can slowly pull a family apart. That as we age, even the closest of family bonds need tending to lest they wither away. It's something I've thought about a lot in my life recently and while these two films are much richer than just this aspect, it's perhaps why they seemed to have resonated with me more deeply than others.

I've long praised the quality of the releases from the production/distribution company A24. They are to me what perhaps Focus Features was in the early 2000s, a company that wisely devotes its resources to idiosyncratic auteurs who make personal films that, with regularity, end up being among my favorites of the year. Six A24 releases make the top-25 video above and another two make the honorable mentions below. That also makes 3 out of the last 4 years in which they claimed the #1 spot (Moonlight, 2016; A Ghost Story, 2017).

It almost pains me to have left so many other wonderful films off the video. So in the hopes you'll search some of them out and in honor of 2020, here are 20 more movies I loved released over the past 12 months. Here's to another great movie year.

3 Faces (Jafar Panahi)
The Art of Self-Defense (Riley Stearns)
Asako I & II (Ryūsuke Hamaguchi)
Ash Is Purest White (Jia Zhangke)
The Beach Bum (Harmony Korine)
Climax (Gasper Noé)
The Dead Don't Die (Jim Jarmusch)
Diamantino (Gabriel Abrantes, Daniel Schmidt)
Dragged Across Concrete (S. Craig Zahler)
First Love (Takashi Miike)
Ford v Ferrari (James Mangold)
I Lost My Body (Jérémy Clapin)
The Image Book (Jean-Luc Godard)
The Lighthouse (Robert Eggers)
The Nightingale (Jennifer Kent)
Non-Fiction (Olivier Assayas)
One Child Nation (Nanfu Wang, Zhang Jia-Ling)
Pain and Glory (Pedro Almodóvar)
Starfish (A.T. White)
Waves (Trey Edward Shults)

Sunday, February 24, 2019

The 1st Annual Fallacy Awards

Welcome to the 1st Annual Fallacy Awards, your aptly-named alternative to the Oscars. Below are the nominees in each of the 24 categories and announced as each is presented on the telecast here and on twitter. Good luck to all the nominees...

Richard Harbaugh / ©A.M.P.A.S.


Friday, January 11, 2019

2018 - A Year in Film



Typically in this space, you'd read my list for the year's best movies. But since you have the video above, I thought I'd just discuss some of things I've been thinking about over the past year in cinema.

The most heartbreaking news in the cinephile world was the closing down at the end of November of FilmStruck, the streaming service from Turner Classic Movies that also served as an online home for the Criterion Collection. In the blip of only two years, it was a beacon of light for the serious moviegoer, a reservoir of some of the world's greatest art amidst the glut of fast food options who are satisfied merely to have its users consume its content and chill. In the short amount of time it existed, I felt I was a smarter movie watcher and frankly I'm gutted that I and other like-minded (and would-be like-minded) folks no longer have this as a resource.

The sadness of FilmStruck's closing was somewhat alleviated by the announcement that Criterion would soon launch its own standalone streaming service in spring. And while that is most certainly a wonderful piece of news, to be honest, even though I purchased the add-on Criterion channel to FilmStruck, it wasn't the resource I used most. I always knew I could get a large selection of Criterion titles on DVD, either through Netflix or my local libraries. Not to mention titles are available through the library-only service, Kanopy.


But FilmStruck would introduce a wide variety of obscure or somewhat forgotten titles, ones that didn't necessarily have the sheen of the Criterion logo on it. More than anything, though, is that the service provided a level of curation little seen (and in most cases unseen) in some of the more popular streaming services. A Netflix algorithm, intricate and rigorous though it may be, can't--or, perhaps more accurately, wouldn't--decide to curate a retrospective of films directed by Nikita Mikhalkov or George Cukor, or decide to have a weekly series of films dedicated to women directors.

That was the real value a service like FilmStruck provided. They didn't just see themselves as a virtual warehouse for these types of films. It also saw itself as a steward for intelligent and thoughtful cinephilia. And that's the case both for the budding cinephile as it is for the veteran one. I can only imagine the kind of thrill someone just starting to explore the world outside mainstream, American cinema would feel having FilmStruck at their fingertips. I, myself, have been serious about film for about two decades and I always feel like I'm still learning and growing as a movie watcher. FilmStruck, during it's tragically brief run, was constantly allowing me to do so.

----------

On the other side of the coin is MoviePass, the monthly subscription service that allowed you to watch a different theatrical release "every" "single" "day." The quotation marks are purposeful because, as any user of the service over the past year will know, what you were allowed to do with your card changed drastically almost daily.

Though MoviePass made the move to its popular $10/month subscription plan well into the second half of 2017, it wasn't until 2018 that we would see the larger implication of its drop in price. The results seem to have been fairly predictable. Multiple price changes and multiple changes to its basic services all pointed to the obvious conclusion that the business model wasn't sustainable. It was, presumably, sustainable back in 2012, when I initially joined at $35/month and even when I stayed after an increase the following year to $45/month. At that price, it caters to the serious moviegoer. The severely discounted price meant a fundamental change to its user base.

The shutting down of FilmStruck and the atrophying of MoviePass may seem like only tangentially related bits of news, but it raises the larger question of the subscription model as it relates to movie watching.

Subscription services seem the dominant mode for streaming at home. This isn't unlike the cable model we've grown used to for years, except of course that only one subscription basically got you everything plus some extra fees for premium channels. Now, the glut of streaming services stretches content out over a wider area. There are the broader services (Netflix, Hulu) and the ones becoming increasingly more niche. WarnerMedia, the company that shut down FilmStruck, also shut down Drama Fever, a site dedicated to Korean dramas. Both of which were done apparently with an eye towards creating a broad service of its own.

There's a lot to unpack here when it comes to on-demand streaming. But what happens when you transpose all of this to the theatrical model? Perhaps MoviePass, then, is cable TV: one subscription to watch basically anything that's out. But in the wake of its demise, AMC created its own service, A-List. And while AMC is the largest theater chain in the country and I'm happy to say does play its share of non-mainstream movies (depending on where you live), this starts to move into the direction of the streaming model. What happens if Regal offers its own subscription? And then your local art house? If you have Netflix, but not Hulu, then you watch Netflix, but not Hulu. If you subscribe to the multiplex, then maybe you don't take the time to bother going to the art house anymore. How it all plays out is anyone's guess. But there's a danger that the culture gets flattened. That the movies that have always been on the fringes get further marginalized. We're a worst-case scenario away from only getting Marvel movies. (Disney themselves will soon premiere its own service, Disney+ in late 2019, meaning those Marvel, Star Wars, and Pixar movies on Netflix will eventually disappear, further complicating the landscape.)

But it's the movies we're here to discuss and, thankfully, we haven't reached the point where simply providing content isn't the means to its own end. I called last year a great year for movies, where I could've made the case for much of the titles on the list as being the year's best. While I don't think that's the case for the top spot here, the list as a whole is bursting at the seams. Deep as the list in the video above is, I was still heartbroken to leave so many others off and I look as forward to again watching those that missed the cut as those that made it.

At the very top of the list are two filmmakers who often appear at or near the top of this list in the past. I've long said Hirokazu Kore-eda is my favorite working international director and he's made a number of top 10 lists since I've been compiling them, including several other honorable mentions. Barry Jenkins has only directed three features and none of them have placed lower than #5 on this list, including now his second #1 in three years.

I'll also say that, though I somewhat trashed Netflix above, the company placed two movies in my top 10 and scattered several others throughout my list, so mine or anyone else's prediction of the demise of cinema because of streaming needs to be taken with a grain of salt.

And in lamenting the fact that I had to leave so many off of even a top-25 list, in honor of and in hoping for a great year in movies for 2019, here I am squeezing another 19 movies (listed alphabetically) that deserves some love. Happy New Year everyone!

Blockers (Kay Cannon)
Crazy Rich Asians (Jon M. Chu)
The Day After (Hong Sang-soo)
The Death of Stalin (Armando Iannucci)
Happy as Lazzaro (Alice Rohrwacher)
Mission: Impossible -- Fallout (Christopher McQuarrie)
Never Goin' Back (Augustine Frizzell)
Lean on Pete (Andrew Haigh)
Private Life (Tamara Jenkins)
A Quiet Place (John Krasinski)
Searching (Aneesh Chaganty)
Set It Up (Claire Scanlon)
Shirkers (Sandi Tan)
Sorry to Bother You (Boots Riley)
Thoroughbreds (Cory Finley)
Unsane (Steven Soderbergh)
Widows (Steve McQueen)
Wildlife (Paul Dano)
Zama (Lucrecia Martel)

Sunday, March 4, 2018

Oscars 2018, A Power Ranking

My personal rankings of the nominees in each category. Movies I haven't seen are listed, unranked, at the end of each list. My predictions are marked on the ballot at the bottom as well.




Best Picture
1. Lady Bird
2. Dunkirk
3. Get Out
4. Phantom Thread
5. The Post
6. Call Me By Your Name
7. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
T8. Darkest Hour
T8. The Shape of Water

Directing
1. Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
2. Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
3. Jordan Peele, Get Out
4. Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread
5. Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

Actress in a Leading Role
1. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
2. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
3. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
4. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
5. Meryl Streep, The Post

Actor in a Leading Role
1. Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
2. Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
3. Daniel-Day Lewis, Phantom Thread
4. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
5. Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Actress in a Supporting Role
1. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
2. Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
3. Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
4. Allison Janney, I, Tonya
5. Mary J. Blige, Mudbound

Actor in a Supporting Role
1. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
2. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
3. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
4. Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
5. Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Original Screenplay
1. Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
2. Jordan Peele, Get Out
3. Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani, The Big Sick
4. Guillermo del Toro & Vanessa Taylor, The Shape of Water
5. Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Adapted Screenplay
1. James Ivory, Call Me By Your Name
2. Scott Frank & James Mangold and Michael Green, Logan
3Molly's Game, Aaron Sorkin
4. Virgil Williams and Dee Rees, Mudbound
5. Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber, The Disaster Artist

Documentary Feature
1. Faces Places
2. Strong Island
3. Icarus
4. Abacus: Small Enough to Jail
5. Last Men in Aleppo

Foreign-Language Film
1. A Fantastic Woman
2. The Square
3. On Body and Soul
4. The Insult
 Loveless

Original Score
1. Jonny Greenwood, Phantom Thread
2. Alexandre Desplat, The Shape of Water
3. Hans Zimmer, Dunkirk
4. John Williams, Star Wars: The Last Jedi
5. Carter Burwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Original Song
1."The Mystery of Love," Call Me By Your Name
2. "Remember Me," Coco
3. "This Is Me," The Greatest Showman
4. "Stand Up for Something," Marshall
5. "Mighty River," Mudbound

Sound Editing
1. Dunkirk
2. Baby Driver
3. The Shape of Water
4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
5. Blade Runner 2049

Sound Mixing
1. Dunkirk
2. Baby Driver
3. The Shape of Water
4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
5. Blade Runner 2049

Makeup and Hairstyling
1. Darkest Hour
 Victoria &Abdul
 Wonder

Costume Design
1. Phantom Thread
2. The Shape of Water
3. Darkest Hour
 Beauty and the Beast 
 Victoria & Abdul

Cinematography
1. Hoyte van Hoytema, Dunkirk
2. Roger A. Deakins, Blade Runner 2049
3. Dan Laustsen, The Shape of Water
4. Rachel Morrison, Mudbound
5. Bruno Delbonnel, Darkest Hour

Production Design
1. Dunkirk
2. The Shape of Water
3. Blade Runner 2049
4. Darkest Hour
 Beauty and the Beast

Film Editing
1. Lee Smith, Dunkirk
2. Paul Machliss & Jonathan Amos, Baby Driver
3. Tatiana S. Riegel, I, Tonya
4. Sidney Wolinsky, The Shape of Water
5. Jon Gregory, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Visual Effects
1. War for the Planet of the Apes
2. Blade Runner 2049
3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
4. Kong: Skull Island
5. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2


I've not seen a single film in the following categories:

Animated Feature
Documentary Short Subject
Animated Short Subject
Live Action Short Film

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And my predictions: